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AVAX consolidates: Checking potential moves beyond $30 support level

AVAX has surged by 5% after retesting resistance level at $30 for a possible reversal.

AVAX
  • AVAX was at a crossroads, with potential reversal or further decline.
  • Metrics indicate increased volatility.

Avalanche [AVAX] has been consolidating in an ascending triangle for the last three months. Since the 21st of May, the price has decreased gradually before retesting the $30 support level.

After its retest, the price has spiked by 5% on average in the last three days. Is AVAX building bullish momentum for a long-awaited price reversal, or will the prices sink deeper to an all time low?

As of this writing, the AVAX market cap stands at $12.66 billion, up 3.21% over the past 24 hours. 

The 50-day and 100-day exponential moving averages stand at $36.19 and $37.54 resistance levels, respectively. 

With AVAX trading below these resistance levels, the indicator suggests prevailing bearish sentiments. The stochastic RSI at 25.36 indicates an oversold zone vulnerable to price reversals.

AVAX
Source: TradingView

What do metrics tell us?

AMBcrypto analysed on-chain data from Santiment for additional AVAX insights.

It was found that whale activity showed some changes in the percentage of total supply held by whales. Development Activity has fluctuated over the period, but the changes were moderate.

Source: Santiment

Social volume metrics showed a shifting interest rate. After a significant peak on 21st March, there has been a decline in social mentions.

However, recently renewed social interest could build bullish momentum for the price surge.

Source: Santiment

AMBCrypto then analysed the coinglass long/short ratio data, which indicated dominance in the short positions, but has recently surged to shift the pendulum to the long positions. 

This suggests that AVAX price may be at  a point of reversal if the bulls have started to take positions.

Momentum or decline?

The AVAX price is at a key point now. With the recent 5% surge after testing the $30 support level, bullish momentum can be imminent, as affirmed by gradual increased whale activity, social volume, and fluctuating development trends.


Read Avalanche’s [AVAX] Price Prediction 2024-25


If the support holds and AVAX’s bullish momentum continues, the price could break out of ascending triangle resistance for a bull run to around $36.

However, if the support level fails to hold, AVAX could drop further, potentially touching its all-time low.

Disclaimer: AMBCrypto's content is meant to be informational in nature and should not be interpreted as investment advice. Trading, buying or selling cryptocurrencies should be considered a high-risk investment and every reader is advised to do their own research before making any decisions.

Kelvin Murithi

Journalist

Kelvin Murithi is a crypto journalist and on-chain analyst covering market structure, price action and blockchain data. He is a Bsc. Actuarial Science graduate and harnesses his statistical and data analysis skills to translate complex metrics into clear insights for everyday crypto investors.

AMBCrypto was founded in 2018 with a mission to simplify and bring the latest blockchain and cryptocurrency news to our readers. We have quickly grown into the digital news source for an emerging generation of cryptocurrency enthusiasts, reaching more than a million readers on a monthly basis, across the globe.