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Here’s why Chiliz’s [CHZ] bullish setup comes with THESE 3 warning signs

The 4-hour chart highlighted a bullish structure, but traders should avoid FOMO buying the altcoin right away.

Chiliz bulls in the ascendancy as altcoin rallies 6% in a day, but another retracement looms

Chiliz [CHZ] has rallied just over 6% in the past 24 hours. Coinalyze data showed that the Open Interest has surged by 24% in a day, showing high speculative belief in the current CHZ rally.

Chiliz 1-day Chart
Source: CHZ/USDT on TradingView

From a price action standpoint, Chiliz had a healthy outlook on the higher timeframes. The rally in January reached $0.064 and spent the next two months retracing these gains. Since March, the bearish tides have been stemmed.

The altcoin tested the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level and has flipped it to a support level over the past month. The price has made a series of higher lows after sinking to the $0.03095 low on the 26th of February.

This was an encouraging sign for the Chiliz bulls. The recent price rally was not a sudden rush, but part of a longer-term upward push.

Yet, the volume indicators were worrisome. The A/D indicator has only made a slight uptick since March, showing demand has not been steady and overwhelming.

Meanwhile, the CMF indicator struggled to climb past the +0.05 threshold. A move beyond this value would be a convincing signal of higher timeframe demand and capital inflow to CHZ.

In a recent report, AMBCrypto noted that CHZ was ready for a 30% rally.

The reason was the formation of the inverted head and shoulders pattern. The price has pierced the $0.042 resistance zone since then, reinforcing its bullish chances.

CHZ liquidation heatmap throws a spanner in the works

Chiliz Liquidation Heatmap
Source: CoinGlass

The 3-month Liquidation Heatmap showed a cluster of short liquidations around the $0.045-$0.048 area. This cluster was swept on Monday, the 20th of April.

Further north, a smaller liquidity pocket around $0.05 could pull CHZ higher.

The sweep of the $0.045 shorts could be a problem for the bulls because it opens the possibility of a trend reversal for CHZ. The sweep of the short liquidations could be followed by a bearish impulse move, especially if the Bitcoin [BTC] momentum falters later this week.

Traders’ call to action- Remain bullish

Chiliz 4-hour Chart
Source: CHZ/USDT on TradingView

The price action was reassuring. The H4 swing structure was bullish, and the retracement to $0.036, the 78.6% Fibonacci level, was followed by a rally to the 23.6% extension level at $0.047.

A drop below $0.044 would signal a potential retracement as deep as $0.038. Therefore, traders should be in no rush to buy just yet.

A sustained rally beyond $0.048 is possible, but the risk-to-reward ratio does not justify buying CHZ right now, as a chunk of the move is over. Waiting for a retest of $0.038-$0.04 would be more ideal.


Final Summary

  • Chiliz has made slow but steady gains over the past month after falling to a key Fibonacci retracement support level.
  • It has a bullish swing structure across timeframes, and holders have an incentive to let the rally continue in the coming weeks.
Disclaimer: AMBCrypto's content is meant to be informational in nature and should not be interpreted as investment advice. Trading, buying or selling cryptocurrencies should be considered a high-risk investment and every reader is advised to do their own research before making any decisions.

Akashnath S

Journalist

Akashnath S is a Senior Journalist and Technical Analysis expert at AMBCrypto. He specializes in dissecting price action, identifying key market trends through advanced chart patterns, and forecasting both short-term and long-term asset trajectories.

AMBCrypto was founded in 2018 with a mission to simplify and bring the latest blockchain and cryptocurrency news to our readers. We have quickly grown into the digital news source for an emerging generation of cryptocurrency enthusiasts, reaching more than a million readers on a monthly basis, across the globe.