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A key reason why Litecoin [LTC] holders should be wary is…

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A key reason why Litecoin [LTC] holders should be wary is...

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  • Litecoin beat other top cryptos to register the most gains in the last 24 hours
  • The latest rally is less likely to be sustained considering unimpressive circulation and possible sell-offs

Litecoin [LTC] recorded the highest gains in the last 24 hours out of the market’s top-20 cryptos. According to CoinMarketCap, the altcoin was trading at $62.21 at press time, having appreciated by 7%. Following the uptick, Santiment noted that investors who accumulated some LTC over the last thirty days were on the brink of adding 50% gains to their asset value. This inference was because of the status revealed by the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio.

Here’s AMBCrypto’s Price Prediction for Litecoin for 2023-2024

Probably a one-off

According to the same, LTC’s thirty-day MVRV rose to 4.651%. Interestingly, the same metrics had plunged to -12.30% on 9 November, leaving investors and long-positioned traders in ruins. However, the latest upturn meant LTC seemed dogged enough to withstand the pressure the market has faced recently.

Litecoin's market value and price data

Source: Santiment

However, LTC appeared to be recording much lower accumulation, according to Glassnode data. Furthermore, Litecoin’s liveliness was as high as 0.733.

This state implied that a huge number of LTC long-term investors might be liquidating their positions. In addition, this could also mean that investors could be wary of an impending price reversal. 

Litecoin's liveliness showing long-term holders position in the. market

Source: Glassnode

Despite the recorded price incline, short-term investors might need to be wary of holding on to the coin. This, because the one-day LTC circulation was nothing short of gloomy. According to Santiment, the one-day circulation had significantly fallen to 398,000. Interestingly, this fall did not suddenly begin over the last 24 hours. 

Data from Santiment revealed that it has been declining since it last hit a high of 3.5 million on 14 November. Therefore, the status aligned with that of liveliness. This, because decreasing circulation meant fewer unique LTC coins were involved in transactions since the aforementioned date.

Additionally, the network realized profit and loss at 335,000 suggested that long-term investors remained in the grey. 

Litecoin profit and loss data

Source: Santiment

 Where does LTC go from here?

LTC might not be able to sustain its recent momentum. This, due to the signals shown by the Directional Movement Index (DMI). According to the DMI, the positive DMI (green) has been unable to uphold its position above the negative (red). While the Average Directional Index (yellow) had fallen to 17.28, there were still signs that LTC could choose a bearish direction. 

It was a similar situation with the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). At press time, sellers (orange) were in control despite attempts from the buying momentum to overtake them. Hence, it is likely that LTC would decline in the short-term, especially if Bitcoin [BTC] doesn’t lead a rally.

Litecoin price analysis and price action

Source: TradingView


Saman Waris works as a News Editor at AMBCrypto. She has always been fascinated by how the tides of finance and technology shape communities across demographics. Cryptocurrencies are of particular interest to Saman, with much of her writing centered around understanding how ideas like Momentum and Greater Fool theories apply to altcoins, specifically, memecoins. A graduate in history, Saman worked the sports beat before diving into crypto. Prior to joining AMBCrypto 2 years ago, Saman was a News Editor at Sportskeeda. This was preceded by her stint as Editor-in-Chief at EssentiallySports.
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