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AAVE’s rally can reach $416 this time – 2 reasons why

AAVE at $416: Traders say the rally is 'real' this time - Why?
  • AAVE gained over 100% since April and broke $290, a key resistance now acting as support.
  • The price is above the 200-day EMA, suggesting a continued bullish trend.

Despite market uncertainty, Aave [AAVE] has been consistently garnering significant attention from investors and traders due to its impressive performance.

The daily chart reveals that the altcoin has rallied over 100% since late April 2025 and analysts think it is poised for an additional 40% upside.

This bullish speculation is based on AAVE’s recent breakout above resistance, a strong surge in whale participation, and notable exchange outflows over the past 48 hours.

Whale activity skyrockets! 

Large transaction counts have exploded.

According to IntoTheBlock, transactions in the $100K–$1M range spiked by 360.77%, while the $1M–$10M cohort surged 283.33%.

AAVE Transaction Count by Size
Source: IntoTheBlock

Such notable transactions are typically associated with whales or institutions.

Moreover, this surge was observed following a breakout above a key level, which likely contributed to the price rally and now signals continued bullishness for the asset.

$310 and climbing…..

At press time, the altcoin traded just above $310, clocking a 7% gain in 24 hours. More importantly, Trading Volume jumped by 55%, confirming strong spot participation.

When price increases happen alongside spikes in trading volume, it often indicates genuine conviction rather than temporary hype.

A rise in volume with the price suggests strong market support and buyer confidence, indicating a potentially sustainable rally.

Technical analysis from AMBCrypto suggested that AAVE appeared bullish, having successfully broken out of a strong resistance level at $290. 

This breakout followed a period of prolonged consolidation, which is itself a bullish signal, and it indicates that the upcoming rally could be parabolic.

AAVE technical analysis
Source: TradingView

If the altcoin maintains its upside momentum and holds above the $290 level, the upward trend could continue. Thus, there is a strong possibility that AAVE’s price could surge by over 35%, reaching the $416 level.

This breakout, paired with the asset trading above the 200-day Exponential Moving Average, strengthens the case for continuation.

$5.63 million worth of AAVE outflow

Meanwhile, this bullish outlook is further strengthened by potential accumulation from investors and long-term holders, as reported by the on-chain analytics firm CoinGlass.

Data from Spot Inflows/Outflows revealed that exchanges recorded an outflow of approximately $5.63 million worth of AAVE tokens over the past 48 hours.

AAVE Spot Inflow/Outflow
Source: CoinGlass

Currently, such outflows indicate potential accumulation, creating buying pressure and upward momentum. Overall, it seems that the bulls are pushing AAVE’s price toward a new high.

Disclaimer: AMBCrypto's content is meant to be informational in nature and should not be interpreted as investment advice. Trading, buying or selling cryptocurrencies should be considered a high-risk investment and every reader is advised to do their own research before making any decisions.

Chandan Gupta

Journalist

Chandan Gupta is is a seasoned crypto analyst with over four years of experience in market research and trading. He specializes in simplifying complex on-chain data to uncover the strategies of crypto whales and major market participants. Alongside on-chain analysis, he breaks down price charts and liquidity movements to deliver clear, actionable insights.

AMBCrypto was founded in 2018 with a mission to simplify and bring the latest blockchain and cryptocurrency news to our readers. We have quickly grown into the digital news source for an emerging generation of cryptocurrency enthusiasts, reaching more than a million readers on a monthly basis, across the globe.