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Analyzing Bitcoin’s market trends after its taker order volume falls

3min Read

Market sentiment can be as volatile as the price for Bitcoin.

Analyzing Bitcoin's market trends after its taker order volume falls

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  • Bitcoin’s taker order volume has declined significantly, mirroring early February conditions when shorting activity was minimal
  • At press time, long/short ratio had a reading of 1.42, with 58.6% of traders holding long positions

Bitcoin’s taker order volume has shrunk significantly of late, hitting a low last seen in early February. This hinted at a shift in market behavior, as fewer traders are actively shorting BTC right now. Additionally, the funding rate has remained consistently positive over the past week – A sign that bullish sentiment continues to dominate the market. 

Analyzing the long/short ratio, price trends, and funding rates will help assess Bitcoin’s potential trajectory in the coming days.

Bitcoin taker order volume hits a low

The net volume of taker orders has dwindled lately, indicating reduced trading activity from those aggressively placing market sell orders. Historically, a decline in taker order volume has often preceded periods of price stability or upward movement.

A similar trend was seen in early February, before BTC attempted to hit $100k again. If history repeats itself, this could allude to a bullish accumulation phase, rather than an outright market reversal.

Funding rate signals bullish bias

Over the past week, Bitcoin’s funding rate has consistently remained positive too, reinforcing the notion that long positions have been dominant. 

A positive funding rate means that traders with long positions are paying those with short positions – A sign that the market expects a price hike. This would be in line with the fall in short interest, with the same evidenced by decreasing taker order volume.

Long/Short ratio and market sentiment

Bitcoin’s Long/Short ratio had a reading of 1.42 at press time, with long accounts making up 58.6% and short accounts at 41.4%. 

Bitcoin Long/short

Source: Coinglass

This imbalance leaned towards bullish sentiment, as many traders expect Bitcoin’s price to continue rising. However, an overly skewed long bias can sometimes lead to sharp corrections if liquidations occur. So, caution is warranted.

Bitcoin continues below short-moving average

Bitcoin was trading at around $97,339, at press time, following minor fluctuations over the past few days. The 50-day moving average stood at $98,752, while the 200-day moving average was at $79,856.

Bitcoin price trend

Source: TradingView

The proximity to the 50-day MA hinted that Bitcoin may be consolidating, waiting for a breakout in either direction. Additionally, the Average True Range [ATR] of 3,676.59 alluded to reduced volatility – Indicative of a strong move once market activity picks up.

What’s next for Bitcoin?

With taker order volume shrinking, a positive funding rate, and a higher long/short ratio, Bitcoin appears to be in an accumulation phase right now. If BTC breaks above the $98,752 resistance level, it could signal the start of a new uptrend. However, a failure to do so may lead to retests of lower support levels, possibly around $95,000.

Traders should keep an eye on funding rate fluctuations and long/short ratio changes, as these indicators often provide early warnings of potential reversals. With bullish sentiment still strong, Bitcoin’s next major move could be imminent, making this a crucial moment for market participants to watch.

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Adewale is a full-time journalist at AMBCrypto. While he is increasingly fascinating by the world of blockchain and cryptocurrencies, Adewale holds a degree in International Relations. Besides working on insightful articles that touch upon the crypto-space's hottest issues, he finds joy in supporting Manchester United and Afrobeat music.
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