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Bitcoin: How this metric can save investors

2min Read

The king coin’s price has long-term potential of reaching its peak again. But it depends on a number of factors.

Bitcoin: This indicator could dismiss investors' current dismay

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  • BTC may have approached the beginning of a bullish run.
  • The coin circulation rests in an extremely low region.

Bitcoin’s [BTC] failure to recover from its recent decline could be something that long-term investors may not necessarily need to worry about, based on signals from the Pi Cycle Top indicator

Is your portfolio green? Check the Bitcoin Profit Calculator

Historically, the indicator has been instrumental in picking out market cycles. Furthermore, the metric uses the 111-day Moving Average (MA) and a multiple of the 350-day MA with respect to the Bitcoin Price.

Offering chances that lead to the pinnacle

According to LookIntoBitcoin,  the 111-day MA was still lower than the 350-day MA. This implies that the current market was far from being overheated since Bitcoin peaks only happened when the former surpassed the latter.

Bitcoin Pi Cycle Top Indicator

Source: LookIntoBitcoin

Therefore, it may seem advantageous to accumulate some BTC at the current state. Despite the hope that the Pi Cycle Top Indicator offers, the Bitcoin fear and greed index decreased to 48. 

The index considers volatility, momentum, and market sentiment in determining participant reaction to sudden price action.

 In the first quarter, this index pointed to the greed region. But now that it was neutral and closer to the fear area, it means that investors were not presently excited about the price prospect.

Bitcoin fear and greed index

Source: LookIntoBitcoin

At press time, BTC’s price was $27,069, a mild 3.83% decrease in the last 30 days. In addressing network profitability, the adjusted Spent Output Profit Ratio (aSOPR) left the negative region.

The aSOPR reflects the shift in market sentiment of shrimps and whales’ lifespan while monitoring profitability. With its value above 1.0, the aSOPR showed that there has been a recovery around the 90-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA).

Therefore, this means that a wide cross-section of BTC holders leaned toward profitability.

Bitcoin aSOPR

Source: Glassnode

Circulation down

Although the aSOPR and Pi Cycle Top indicators displayed bullish potential, BTC might require more input from investors than is currently experienced. For instance, the 365-day circulation had dropped to 5.61 million.

Realistic or not, here’s BTC’s market cap in ETH terms

Circulation shows the number of unique coins engaged in transactions within a specific period. As of January, circulation was as high as 6.05 million. Hence, the decline means that investors were shying away from exchanging BTC between addresses.

Meanwhile, the daily active addresses have revived from the severe decrease on 7 May. As of 20 May, the metric has moved to 737,000.

This meant that there was a considerable level of crowd depositing and receiving BTC based on the market. Thus, increasing the level of interaction with the coin.

Bitcoin [BTC] circulation and daily active addresses

Source: Santiment


Victor Olanrewaju is a full-time journalist at AMBCrypto. Settled in Lagos, his fascination with blockchain technology and the cryptocurrency market arose out of his love of freedom and everything free. As a Nigerian, Victor understands the impact unfounded financial restrictions have on a population. He sees Bitcoin and cryptos as a way to circumvent these obstacles, as a tool for value creation despite all the setbacks. A graduate in Physics, Victor previously worked as a Senior Marketer at Melange Technologies. Before that, he dealt with crypto-marketers on a regular basis in his capacity as Copywriter at Ventrix Media. At AMBCrypto, Victor’s focus is on assessing the real effectiveness of both on-chain and off-chain developments on a project and its community sentiment.
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