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Bitcoin to $400K or $20K? Why analysts cannot agree on BTC’s future

2min Read

Should you ride out the dip or sell your BTC? Analysts cannot agree on what you should do.

Bitcoin to $400K or $20K? Why analysts cannot agree on BTC's future

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  • Bitcoin and Ethereum dip by over 5%; BTC sees 20% drop from $75,000 peak.
  • Despite short-term dips, indicators show long-term promise.

The cryptocurrency market is experiencing a downturn, with Bitcoin [BTC] and Ethereum [ETH], the top players, dropping by over 5% in the last 24 hours.

After reaching a record high of $75,000 in mid-March, the recent decline has sparked heightened investor interest. Interestingly, the leading cryptocurrency dropped by roughly 20% over the past three months.

Nevertheless, investor enthusiasm for Bitcoin persists.

Ignore the short-term noises 

Traders indicate that these fluctuations are short-term and view the drop as a “routine correction” in the market. 

This was further confirmed by AMBCrypto’s analysis of the Reserve Risk metric. 

AMBCrypto's analysis of Bitcoin's reserve risk

Source: Glassnode

This chart assesses the confidence of long-term Bitcoin investors about the price. At the time of writing, the Reserve Risk stood at 0.002, signaling confidence among BTC holders.

With recent price declines, it may be a cue to start accumulating before a potential rise to $70,000, disadvantaging bearish positions. 

Echoing similar sentiments, Thomas Fahrer, co-founder of Apollo, said, 

“Price might fall to $40K, but it might rise to $400K. That’s just how it is, and it’s a great bet.”

Drawing parallels with BTC’s current price and its recent all-time-high (ATH), Raoul Pal, added, 

“This is the 4th 20% correction in BTC in 12 months…pretty ordinary stuff.” 

Raoul Pal's tweet on BTC

Source: Raoul Pal/Twitter

Critics being critics 

However, skeptics like Peter Schiff maintain a bearish outlook on Bitcoin, predicting a return to $20,000.

Peter Schiff criticises BTC

Source: Peter Schiff/Twitter

Adding to the fray, crypto analysts, Rekt Capital, noted, 

“Bitcoin is getting closer and closer to its final bottom with each additional -1% to the downside.”

Despite criticism, Arthur Hayes, former CEO of crypto exchange BitMEX argues in his recent essay “Left Curve,” suggested that BTC’s recent dip presents a buying opportunity. He said, 

“This is the perfect time to take advantage of the recent crypto dip to slowly add to positions.” 

Additionally, Hayes highlighted that Bitcoin serves as an alternative investment during times of negative real yields, acting as a hedge against fiat currency depreciation.

All in all, these exchanges suggest that despite a rollercoaster ride, Bitcoin’s long-term perspective looks promising.


Ishika is a graduate of Political Science from the University of Delhi. From writing content as a hobby to now pursuing it as a professional career, she has been living and breathing content all her life. Her interests lie in making sure articles are very digestible to a common reader, despite all its technicalities and jargons.
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