Connect with us
Active Currencies 14485
Market Cap $2,712,934,519,860.90
Bitcoin Share 49.75%
24h Market Cap Change $0.35

Bitcoin’s latest prediction-turned-reality can be an investor’s nightmare because… 

2min Read

Share this article

Bitcoin’s [BTC] almost 5% recovery on 14 October might not be the icing on the cake needed for a bullish revival. According to BaroVirtual, a CryptoQuant analyst, such events occurring in a full-blown bear market indicated a catastrophic outcome.


Here’s AMBCrypto’s Price Prediction for Bitcoin for 2022-2023


In his latest analysis, BaroVirtual pointed out that the BTC close/low ratio signaled that the rebound would eventually result in a price correction.

Source: BaroVirtual on CryptoQuant

Prophecy to reality?

Interestingly, the analyst’s projection seemed quick to come to life. This was because it did not take long before Bitcoin succumbed to the bidding of bears. At the time of this writing, BTC was trading at $19,177— a 2.74% decrease in the last 24 hours. However, it did not look like the decline would end at 2% to 3%. 

Based on the four-hour chart, BTC sellers had more edge over the strength of the buyers. The Directional Movement Index (DMI) showed that the positive part (green), which reflected the buyer edge was 16.77. 

In contrast, the negative DMI (red) favored the sellers above the positive at 27.54. While bulls may have hoped that the directional strength was not strong enough, the Average Directional Index (ADX) proved otherwise. With the ADX (yellow) at 32.23, it was almost inevitable that BTC’s bearish momentum might last for a while before any bullish signs revealed themselves.

Hence, the defending zone from which BTC bulls may have expected a run might not be in the short term.

Source: TradingView

More so, BTC traders also seemed to have reduced centralized trading activities recently. According to on-chain data intelligence platform, Glassnode, the number of exchange deposits had reached new lows, with the latest a 1.836.483 within two years.

Because of this, it was less likely that investors would have taken profits. For others, it could mean it was time to evaluate their BTC portfolio.

What else is happening?

Per on-chain metrics, BTC traders were not following the reduced exchange activities as Glassnode revealed that futures open interest was in excellent momentum. As of 14 October, BTC futures open interest across all exchanges was about $12.15 billion. 

The current level was similar to what it has been since 15 September. The implication was that traders were looking to profit from the futures market since the BTC spot was less likely to produce significant gains.

Source: Glassnode

Furthermore, the exchange inflow and outflow indications showed no clear sign that bulls would rejoice this October. According to Santiment, the exchange inflow and outflow was a close call at 5189 and 6579, respectively.

So, while there has been some selling pressure, there has also been a buying momentum to match. Hence, it was unclear who would win the Bitcoin momentum battle.

Source: Santiment


Saman Waris works as a News Editor at AMBCrypto. She has always been fascinated by how the tides of finance and technology shape communities across demographics. Cryptocurrencies are of particular interest to Saman, with much of her writing centered around understanding how ideas like Momentum and Greater Fool theories apply to altcoins, specifically, memecoins. A graduate in history, Saman worked the sports beat before diving into crypto. Prior to joining AMBCrypto 2 years ago, Saman was a News Editor at Sportskeeda. This was preceded by her stint as Editor-in-Chief at EssentiallySports.
Read the best crypto stories of the day in less than 5 minutes
Subscribe to get it daily in your inbox.
Please check the format of your first name and/or email address.

Thank you for subscribing to Unhashed.