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The ‘but’ to Bitcoin holders expecting a rally

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Bitcoin’s latest surge had investors holding onto the coin instead of taking profits. However, this trend could soon witness a change in light of certain anomalies that could come emerge.

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  • Bitcoin’s Net Unrealized Profit/Loss indicator was 0.27, indicating that the network was in profit.
  • The increasing dormant supply of BTC served as evidence of investors’ unwillingness to sell.

Battered and bruised after the bloodbath of 2022, the world’s largest digital asset Bitcoin [BTC] made a robust recovery in 2023. This reinforced faith in its long-term potential. The king of crypto coins rallied more than 60% on a year-to-date (YTD) basis, even touching the $30k level in mid-April, data from CoinMarketCap revealed.

As per Glassnode, Bitcoin’s Net Unrealized Profit/Loss indicator at the time of publication was 0.27. This indicated that the network, on the whole, was in a state of profit.

Source: Glassnode

However, despite the surge, many holders resisted the temptation to sell their coins in pursuit of profits. This highlighted an intriguing behavioral trend.

In for the long haul?

This narrative was analyzed with more scrutiny by a financial researcher on Twitter. According to him, BTC holders were showing resilience and were unfazed by the surge in profitability.

He stated that market participants have been steadily shifting coins out of exchanges, evidenced by dwindling exchange inflows as indicated below. The supply on exchanges, as a result, dropped to significantly low levels.

Source: NeuroInvest Research

The increasing dormant supply of BTC served as further evidence of investors’ unwillingness to sell. The percentage of supply held for longer than a year climbed to record highs in the month of May. Most age bands recorded an uptick in their hodling activity.

This also highlighted the fact that long-term coin holders, also known as “diamond hands,” believed that BTC’s peak was yet to come. These holders were also hopeful of a bullish surge in the days to come.

Is the narrative changing?

On a larger scale, the aforementioned hodling story was accurate, but some oddities began to show up. According to data from Santiment, there was a significant outflow of coins from large addresses, evidenced by the noticeable drop in the number of addresses holding more than 1,000 BTCs.

The cohort of users holding more than 1,000 coins are called whales and their trading behavior, including sell-offs and accumulation, tends to impact BTC’s price.

Source: Santiment

Is your portfolio green? Check out the Bitcoin Profit Calculator

At the time this article was written, Bitcoin was trading hands for $26,856, and the market mood was balanced between greed and anxiety. This suggested that the accumulating phase can last for a while without the risk of a price correction.

 

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Saman Waris works as a News Editor at AMBCrypto. She has always been fascinated by how the tides of finance and technology shape communities across demographics. Cryptocurrencies are of particular interest to Saman, with much of her writing centered around understanding how ideas like Momentum and Greater Fool theories apply to altcoins, specifically, memecoins. A graduate in history, Saman worked the sports beat before diving into crypto. Prior to joining AMBCrypto 2 years ago, Saman was a News Editor at Sportskeeda. This was preceded by her stint as Editor-in-Chief at EssentiallySports.
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