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Cardano stalls after NIGHT launch – Can ADA hold $0.405?

An ADA bounce beyond $0.45 is necessary to keep alive the hopes of a bullish trend shift.

Cardano at a crossroad- Hold $0.405 or resume the downtrend

The launch of the Midnight’s [NIGHT] native token came at a time when Cardano holders were facing heavy losses.

Those losses represented an “extreme buy” event for Cardano, and a rally could have been catalyzed by the Midnight sidechain launch.

A week before the 8th of December NIGHT launch, Cardano [ADA] token prices began a rally from $0.37. By the 9th of December, they were able to drive a 30.6% move to $0.484. However, the rally ended there.

The inability of the bulls to sustain the pressure and reclaim the $0.52 long-term resistance level meant that the bullish strength was no reliable strength after all.

Cardano indicators signal a strong downtrend in progress

Cardano 1-day Chart
Source: ADA/USDT on TradingView

On the 1-day chart, the swing low at $0.405 was under threat from sellers. A daily close below this level would shift the structure bearishly.

Further south, the $0.37 was another key support level. A breakdown below these two would herald the downtrend’s continuation.

The CMF showed that selling pressure was rising once again, with a drop below -0.05. Significant capital outflows confirmed what the DMI had been showing since the 10/10 crash.

Taken together, the daily indicators suggested the bearish trend remained intact.

The bullish Cardano argument

Cardano Liquidation Heatmap
Source: CoinGlass

The 1-month Liquidation Heatmap showed a build-up of short liquidations above the recent swing high at $0.48. This magnetic zone could pull prices higher, like it did earlier this month.

While there was a sparsity of liquidations between $0.4 and $0.5, the $0.43-$0.44 pocket could oppose a quick rally.

Traders’ call to action- be prepared for bearishness

The price action on the daily chart showed that the structure remained bullish. However, the technical indicators and the recent Bitcoin [BTC] volatility did little to aid the ADA bulls.

Moreover, the rally that stalled at $0.48 was not halted at $0.45 or $0.43. This indicated a lack of buying pressure, which the CMF confirmed.

Therefore, traders can watch out for a drop below $0.405. Such a drop, followed by a retest of the same level as resistance, could offer a selling opportunity.


Final Thoughts

  • Traders looking for the downtrend to continue, be warned- the Bitcoin volatility could mess with a bearish continuation. Monday’s price action could give clues for next week’s moves.
  • If the $0.405 level is defended and Cardano climbs back above $0.43, bulls have reason to be cautiously optimistic.

Disclaimer: The information presented does not constitute financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice and is solely the writer’s opinion

Disclaimer: AMBCrypto's content is meant to be informational in nature and should not be interpreted as investment advice. Trading, buying or selling cryptocurrencies should be considered a high-risk investment and every reader is advised to do their own research before making any decisions.

Akashnath S

Journalist

Akashnath S is a Senior Journalist and Technical Analysis expert at AMBCrypto. He specializes in dissecting price action, identifying key market trends through advanced chart patterns, and forecasting both short-term and long-term asset trajectories.

AMBCrypto was founded in 2018 with a mission to simplify and bring the latest blockchain and cryptocurrency news to our readers. We have quickly grown into the digital news source for an emerging generation of cryptocurrency enthusiasts, reaching more than a million readers on a monthly basis, across the globe.