Celestia surges 10%, but here’s why TIA can drop to $1.50 soon

• TIA faced resistance at $3.50 – a breakout could lead to $4.70, while failure may trigger a $2.70 drop.
• Short liquidations hit $163.89K, causing a squeeze, but analysts warn of a possible $1.50 low.

Celestia [TIA] was trading at $3.43 at press time, reflecting a 7.76% increase in the past 24 hours and a 7.22% rise over the past week. With a circulating supply of 520 million TIA, the project holds a market cap of $1.79 billion.

Crypto analyst Ali has suggested that TIA could fall to $1.50, citing key technical levels and market structure.

The price movement comes as traders assess whether TIA can break resistance at $3.50 or face rejection, leading to further downside.

Key support and resistance levels

TIA is testing resistance at $3.50, a level that previously acted as strong support. If the price fails to hold above this mark, it may decline toward $2.70, which has served as a consolidation zone in past trading sessions.

Source: X

Further support levels were at $2.30 and $1.55, where buyers may step in if selling pressure increases. 

On the upside, a confirmed breakout above $3.50 could lead to price targets at $4.70 and $6.50, areas that previously acted as resistance.

Trend and momentum indicators

The Parabolic SAR (Stop and Reverse) dots remained above the press time price, indicating that TIA was still in a bearish trend. However, if the price continues to rise, the SAR could flip below, signaling a possible trend reversal.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) was at 42.23, suggesting that the asset was recovering from near-oversold conditions.

While this level reflected increasing buying pressure, it remained below the neutral 50 mark, indicating that sellers still have control. 

Source: TradingView

Meanwhile, the MACD histogram was showing decreasing red bars, indicating reduced selling pressure. 

The MACD line (-0.010) was nearing a bullish crossover with the signal line (-0.453), suggesting a potential weakening of downward momentum.

Market activity and liquidations

According to AMBCrypto’s look at Coinglass, TIA’s trading volume had increased by 19.62% to $221.74 million, while Open Interest was up 4.66% to $104.44 million, reflecting higher trading engagement.

Liquidation data showed that $163.89K in short positions were liquidated, with Binance accounting for $72.26K and OKX contributing $68.05K. 

Source: Coinglass

Meanwhile, $30.28K in long positions were liquidated, with Binance leading at $21.36K. The higher short liquidations suggest that sellers were caught off guard, leading to a short squeeze that helped push the price higher.

Read Celestia’s [TIA] Price Prediction 2025–2026

Will TIA hold above $3.50 or drop to $1.50?

With bullish momentum building, a breakout above $3.50 could push TIA toward $4.70. However, if rejection occurs, the price may drop toward $2.70 or lower. 

Ali warns that TIA “could soon hit a new all-time low at $1.50,” making the next few trading sessions crucial for determining its direction.