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Does fall in Bitcoin dominance mean altcoin season is coming up next?

Here's why analysts believe that an altcoin season rebound in January could be sooner than most think.

Altcoin season
  • Analysts believe that an altcoin sector rebound could be likely.
  • BTC dominance and ETH/BTC ratio suggested a likely relief for the sector. 

The altcoin season momentum slowed in December after a wild run in November which pumped Dogecoin [DOGE], Ripple [XRP], and Hedera Hashgraph [HBAR]

Now, the next leg of the altcoin season could be imminent based on historical Bitcoin [BTC] dominance trends. 

Is the altcoin season closer?

According to crypto analyst TechDev 52, Bitcoin dominance (BTC.D) could drop in January, triggering the much-awaited altcoin season rebound. He said, 

“History tells us the candle that starts tomorrow is for altcoins.”

Altcoin season
Source: X

The chart, on a 6-month timeframe, showed that BTC Dominance (BTC.D) had hit long-term trendline resistance. A rejection at this level could lower BTC dominance, potentially allowing altcoins to recover strongly.

Additionally, the ETH/BTC ratio pointed to a likely bullish outcome for the altcoin sector. This ratio tracks ETH’s relative performance to BTC and is considered a barometer of the health of altcoins, given ETH’s status as the leading altcoin.

Blockchain analysis firm SwissBlock noted that the ETH/BTC ratio had bottomed as BTC.D struggled, suggesting that a rebound for the altcoin season was on the horizon.

In its Telegram broadcast, the firm said, 

“Bitcoin’s dominance is losing steam, and ETH/BTC has printed a higher low, possibly signaling a bottom. Is it time for altcoins to shine, at least for a while?” 

Altcoin season
Source: SwissBlock

That said, some select altcoins performed well in the past week despite the overall market weakening. Virtual Protocol [VIRTUAL] gained nearly 30%, reaching $4 for the first time. Similarly, Gate Token [GT] and FTX Token [FTT] each rallied about 18%.

However, the broader altcoin sector remained flat, as indicated by the Altcoin Season Index, which was hovering around the neutral level. This suggests that alt-season momentum could either rebound or weaken further.

Altcoin season index
Source: Blockchain Center

That said, there are increasingly more ETH bulls than BTC, a trend that might bode well for the king altcoin and the broader sector. 

Disclaimer: AMBCrypto's content is meant to be informational in nature and should not be interpreted as investment advice. Trading, buying or selling cryptocurrencies should be considered a high-risk investment and every reader is advised to do their own research before making any decisions.

Benjamin Njiri

Journalist

Benjamin Njiri is a Crypto Analyst and Reporter at AMBCrypto, specializing in technical analysis and emerging market trends. With a background in Telecoms engineering and power systems, he applies data analysis to filter market noise and decode on-chain data. His work delivers clear, data-driven insights that help readers navigate crypto markets with confidence.

AMBCrypto was founded in 2018 with a mission to simplify and bring the latest blockchain and cryptocurrency news to our readers. We have quickly grown into the digital news source for an emerging generation of cryptocurrency enthusiasts, reaching more than a million readers on a monthly basis, across the globe.