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Dogecoin’s short-term setback means its next price rally will…

2min Read

Data of accounts revealed that long traders composed 75% of the total DOGE trading accounts.

Dogecoin's short-term setback means its next price rally will...

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  • Low trading volume during the recent price bounce was a concern
  • Long-term signs and the 1-day structure revealed Dogecoin had more room to rally

The 19% Dogecoin [DOGE] retracement from the previous weekend presented buyers with an interesting opportunity. It also saw a resurgence in retail interest, a conclusion based on the surge in new addresses on-chain during the price dip.

The strongly bullish market sentiment could see a deeper correction though. Zooming out, the MVRV ratio revealed that the memecoin was still undervalued.

Dogecoin retraces for a week, but re-establishes lower timeframe bullish structure

Dogecoin 1-day Chart

Source: DOGE/USDT on TradingView

The 1-day chart showed a bullish structure, but also a minor retracement for DOGE. The OBV made it clear that although it was on an uptrend, the recent rejection at $0.26 was accompanied by high selling pressure.

This meant that the OBV was once again below its late February lows. A breakout beyond this level earlier in May was seen as a strongly bullish signal, but subsequent profit-taking activity has slightly eroded the shine of this idea.

The RSI remained above 50 to indicate that momentum was bullish. The Fibonacci levels plotted using the lower timeframe rally from $0.164 to $0.26 showed that Dogecoin found support at the 50% retracement at $0.212.

Dogecoin 4-hour Chart

Source: DOGE/USDT on TradingView

On the 4-hour chart, the defense of this retracement level was accompanied by a bullish market structure break. The move beyond the recent lower high at $0.229, marked in green, flipped the structure in favor of the buyers.

However, the OBV was yet to push beyond the highs of 16 May. Hence, the bullish structure shift was accompanied by weak buying volume. This could be followed by another dip to $0.212 or lower.

Dogecoin Long vs Shorts

Source: Coinglass

Finally, the longs vs shorts data from Coinglass revealed that the taker buy/sell volume was nearly equal. Therefore, by volume, the market sentiment appeared balanced and unbiased in the short term.

The data of accounts also showed that long traders composed 75% of the total accounts – An overwhelming majority. This has been the case for the past month.

Disclaimer: The information presented does not constitute financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice and is solely the writer’s opinion

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Akashnath Sumukar works as a Senior Journalist at AMBCrypto. Based in Chennai, India, he has been an avid follower of the cryptocurrency market since Bitcoin’s boom and bust cycle of 2017. A graduate in Chemical Engineering, he is an expert in technical analysis. In fact, Akashnath has a particular interest in reading price charts and predicting how an asset will move over the short and long term. A self-taught trader and as someone who holds cryptos himself, he is always on the lookout for the next opportunity he can possibly capitalize on, while also educating his audience.
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