ETH Merge hopium or an expensive price/earnings level – Take your pick
The cryptocurrency market has continued to recover over the last few days. In fact, the crypto-market gained a total of $150 billion to its capitalization, which now stands above $1 trillion. Ethereum is the absolute leader in terms of price performance over the last few days too – Up by 22% in a week and 5% in 24 hours.
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While this might bring relief to ETH enthusiasts, the altcoin’s two-faced scenario might just mellow down the tone here.
Highs to lows
First, some good news.
📈 #Ethereum $ETH Total Value in the ETH 2.0 Deposit Contract just reached an ATH of 13,107,653 ETH
View metric:https://t.co/SzbMPqvhlb pic.twitter.com/TEEGPtMXGg
— glassnode alerts (@glassnodealerts) July 17, 2022
Ethereum 2.0 is a long-awaited Ethereum upgrade, one that will convert Ethereum’s consensus mechanism from proof of work to proof of stake. Beacon chain remains the core of the Ethereum 2.0 chain, which is set to merge with the existing Ethereum chain and replace miners by July this year.
Likewise, Glassnode reported that the number of addresses holding more than 32 ETH has reached a 16-month high. I.e. the number of tokens required to run a validator node. However, with so many exchanges offering staking services, investors can stake with fewer than this amount.
Bad news to follow
However, here’s the concern for the non-staking aspect of the largest altcoin – Ethereum’s price has declined by ~75% since its peak. And yet, network earnings/activity have declined more.
Andrew Kang, a popular crypto-analyst recently shed light on this scenario in a series of tweets. He asserted,
“At peak, Ethereum traded at 33x P/E, it now trades at 123x P/E. If ETH traded at 33x P/E today, it would trade at $360.”
Here, PE represents the Price/Earning ratio. This, as per the trader, remains an “expensive” level, as observed by an 18 July tweet.
For the uninitiated, significance of PE matters little in bull markets, but is what bottom setters look at closely in bear markets
Yes, pure PE does not encapsulate all value capture mechanisms of $ETH but is a good metric to judge relative fundamental value between periods
— Andrew Kang (@Rewkang) July 17, 2022