Waning network activity, a sharp decline in active addresses, and reduced transaction fees—offset slightly by a record-low burn rate following the Dencun upgrade—have created significant inflationary pressures.
With its value under strain, the question arises: Can the blockchain giant recover from this slump, or is this the onset of an extended downturn?
Ethereum lags behind Bitcoin as downtrend deepens
Ethereum’s latest price dip marks a concerning divergence from Bitcoin. As ETH’s value plummets to a five-year low, its downward trajectory appears sharper compared to BTC.
The data shows that while Bitcoin has dropped around 10% over recent weeks, Ethereum has sunk nearly 45%, signaling a substantial loss of investor confidence.
Source: TradingView
Bitcoin’s relative stability amid the broader market slump highlights Ethereum’s unique challenges, hinting at systemic issues beyond just macroeconomic pressures.
Charting Ethereum’s descent
Source: CryptoQuant
Ethereum’s active addresses have declined sharply since the beginning of the year, dropping from around 525K to approximately 333K. This decline has coincided with a weakening price trend, stabilizing near $1.8K at press time.
The sustained decrease in activity highlights a notable reduction in user engagement and transactional volume across the network.
Source: CryptoQuant
Recent data also reveals a sharp reduction in Ethereum’s total fees burnt, echoing the downtrend in active addresses and suggesting reduced on-chain activity.
Lower burn rates could indicate less network congestion or fewer high-priority transactions, reinforcing decreased usage and network momentum.
Inflation by design?
Ethereum’s Dencun upgrade was heralded as a step toward long-term network sustainability. However, the upgrade’s aftermath has sparked debates, as Ethereum’s total supply has surged.
The data highlights a stark contrast between the pre-Merge deflationary period — marked by a declining supply — and the post-Merge inflationary trend.
Source: CryptoQuant
The Merge initially brought optimism with its deflationary benefits, reducing Ethereum’s issuance rate and burning more tokens than were created.
However, after the Dencun upgrade, the burn mechanism has struggled to counter inflation due to declining transaction volumes and lower network activity. With fewer fees being burned, the network has returned to inflationary territory.
Although the upgrade aimed to strengthen Ethereum’s resilience, it unintentionally exacerbated inflation during a period of reduced on-chain activity.
This shift has made Ethereum’s post-Merge reality appear misaligned with its original deflationary vision, raising doubts about the long-term effectiveness of the burn mechanism.
It remains uncertain if future updates, such as the Pectra upgrade planned for the 30th of April, can achieve a better balance between sustainability and inflation control.
Samyukhtha L KM is a Financial Journalist and Market Analyst at AMBCrypto whose work is defined by one central question: Is the latest trend in blockchain hype, or history in the making?
Her expertise is built on a strong academic foundation, with a Master’s in Journalism and Mass Communication from Amity University and a Bachelor’s in Commerce from the University of Madras. This dual qualification equips her with a unique skill set: the financial acumen to dissect market mechanics and the journalistic rigor to investigate and communicate complex subjects with clarity.
Samyukhtha specializes in analyzing the socio-economic impact of blockchain adoption and assessing the viability of new market narratives. This includes a focus on high-velocity, community-driven assets such as memecoins, where she evaluates sentiment and fundamentals. She is dedicated to providing readers with insightful, well-researched commentary that looks beyond immediate market moves to understand the long-term implications of decentralized technology.