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Fed’s rate cut doubts fail to shake altcoins – Is the crypto bottom in?

2min Read

The muched awaited altcoin season could be closer than most think, per THIS analyst.

Crypto bottom altcoin seson
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  • An analyst believes the altcoin sector’s local bottom might be in. 
  • However, key risks remained for the strong altcoin season to happen. 

Despite the elusive altcoin season, some analysts hope the sector will rebound strongly soon. 

According to Mathew Hyland, the fact that the altcoin sector didn’t dump after Fed’s chair Jerome Powell ruled out an aggressive rate cut path and Quantitative Easing (QE), was a bottom sign. 

“If you told anyone yesterday Powell would announce no QE until rates hit zero, most would have anticipated another massive sell-off that retested the lows or made lower lows. Neither happened; the bottom is in.”

Hyland added that the Fed’s bearish outlook could have been priced during last week’s plunge, and sellers are now exhausted. 

Altcoin season index hit a pivotal level, but…

For perspective, most altcoins shed 20%-90% since late January, with several gems erasing their November ‘Trump pump’ gains. The bleed-out has since dragged the altcoin season index into a pivotal area relative to BTC

Crypto bottom altcoin

Source: Alphractal

Although, historically, the positioning would suggest a likely rebound for the sector, there are more factors at play.

For example, there are too many tokens competing for liquidity, making it difficult for the broader altcoin to rebound wholesomely. 

This means that only select gems might see a strong rebound in case of an altcoin season.

However, high BTC Dominance (BTC.D) may be the key risk factor. Since last December, BTC.D has increased from 55% to +60%, further sniffing liquidity from altcoins. 

In fact, over the same period, the altcoin market has lost nearly $40B as its size shrunk from $1.64T to $1.25T. 

Crypto bottom

Source: CoinMarketCap

But the dump didn’t affect all altcoins. Some, like MANTRA [OM], Litecoin [LTC], and Hyperliquid [HYPE], logged double and triple digital gains over the past thirty days. 

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Benjamin Njiri is a Crypto Analyst and Journalist at AMBCrypto who specializes in technical analysis and identifying emergent market trends. He excels at breaking down complex chart patterns and on-chain data to make them accessible and actionable for investors. His rigorous analytical approach is founded on his academic background as a Telecommunication Engineering graduate. This discipline has equipped him with an expert understanding of signal processing and data analysis, allowing him to systematically filter market noise from true trend signals with engineering precision. Armed with this unique perspective, Benjamin focuses on providing clear, data-driven insights into the digital asset landscape. His work is dedicated to demystifying the intricate world of cryptocurrencies, empowering readers to understand the forces that shape the market and to navigate it with greater confidence.
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