Disclaimer: The findings of the following analysis are the sole opinions of the writer and should not be considered investment advice.
- Polkadot witnessed a bullish divergence with the CMF. Can an immediate rebound induce a breakout rally?
- The crypto’s social dominance declined while the development activity and funding rates improved.
The broader sentiment aided Polkadot [DOT] bears in getting a hold of the immediate trend. The last two months marked a steep downturn that took the shape a of reversal pattern on the daily timeframe.
Here’s AMBCrypto’s price prediction for Polkadot [DOT] for 2023-24
Over the last three weeks, the crypto entered a high liquidity zone near its Point of control (POC, red) in the $6.3 region. Thus, a potential above or below certain triggers could inflict a volatile move in the coming sessions.
At press time, DOT was trading at $6.22, up by 7.08% in the last 24 hours.
Source: TradingView, DOT/USDT
The downturn from the alt’s April highs aggravated the bearish pressure to inflict sustained pulldown. This force helped DOT test its 22-month support in the $6.1 zone in the last three months.
In the meantime, the heightened selling power chalked out a descending channel (white). Also, the 20 EMA (red) and the 50 EMA (cyan) kept looking south.
Should the price close above the limitations of the upper trendline of the down-channel and the 20 EMA, DOT could see a near-term comeback.
In this case, the first major resistance zone would lie in the $6.7-$6.8 range. Especially with the recent bullish hammer, the buyers would look to find a close above the current reversal pattern.
Buyers should watch for a decline from the immediate $6.1 support range to identify the chances of this near-term drop. This could delay the recovery prospects as the sellers would aim to retest the $5.6 baseline before a revival.
Further, the Chaikin Money Flow’s higher troughs bullishly diverged with the price action to display a slight bullish edge. Nonetheless, the Relative Strength Index was yet to find a close above the midline to confirm this narrative.
Recent prices highly correlated with social dominance
Source: Santiment
Since mid-August, DOT’s development activity and funding rate have marked consistent improvements. Despite this, the token’s social dominance has been slightly diminishing. Consequently, its price struggled to find a convincing bull run.
Given the bullish hammer alongside the bullish divergence on CMF, DOT bulls would strive the breach the bounds of its down-channel. A close below $6.1 support could confirm a further downside. In either case, targets would remain the same as discussed above.
An overall market sentiment analysis becomes vital to complement the above analysis in making a profitable move.
