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How FOMO around Bitcoin ETFs can change the tides

3min Read

Rising optimism around a potential ETF application could serve as Bitcoin’s strength to resist the decline. But historically, this hike in realized profit is supposed to trigger a significant correction.

How FOMO around Bitcoin ETFs can change the tide of history

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  • Unlike previous cycles, the current heated market may lead to a correction.
  • If Bitcoin’s price decreases, high liquidity and volatility might send it back to the upside.

Following the price increase to $30,000, the Bitcoin [BTC] network has entered into a high-profit profit period. This information was disclosed by Alex Aldler Jr, a data analyst and Bitcoin research specialist. 


Is your portfolio green? Check out the BTC Profit Calculator


Alder, using the Bitcoin Realized Profit/Loss metric, showed that there have been a lot of profits made on-chain. 

A realized profit or loss occurs when a cryptocurrency is sold for a higher or lower price than it was purchased. When the difference between the total consideration and cost basis is positive, it implies a realized gain. On the other hand, a negative difference infers a realized loss.

A hot market can’t stop the switch

According to the Bitcoin Realized Profit/Loss chart shared by the analyst, a lot of market players had made high gains. Historically, this hike was supposed to trigger a significant correction.

However, Adler noted that it might not happen this cycle due to the FOMO around the spot ETF applications and possible approval.

Although the U.S. SEC has made it clear that the approval may be delayed until next year, many are still optimistic that one of the numerous applications will get a go-ahead before 2023 ends.

As a result, market players have committed to staying active in the market. This resolute stance has also been crucial to the BTC price only retracing slightly in the last few days.

Meanwhile, Bitcoin’s liquidation levels data from HyblockCapital showed there were aggressive buying at $29,886.

For context, liquidation levels are estimates of potential price levels where the position of leverage traders could be closed after reaching initial margins. Also, the cumulative liquidation level delta showed that there has been a lot of pressure on the buy side.

Bitcoin liquidation levels

Source: HyblockCapital

BTC may fall, but it’s not the finish line

As a result, the price might fully retrace, creating a bearish bias in the process. Should Bitcoin fall to $29,000, and liquidity increase again in the market, then it could be a time to open more long positions.

In another post on X (formerly Twitter), Adler noted that active addresses may continue to increase on the Bitcoin network. This metric serves as a measure of crowd interaction around a coin.

During the first quarter of the year, Bitcoin active addresses reached impressive levels. This led to high volatility while bringing gains for BTC holders.


Read Bitcoin’s [BTC] Price Prediction 2023-2024


Although the analyst mentioned that the activity of the network has decreased compared to last week, he also noted that active addresses might resume their speculation soon due to the ETF FOMO.

 

If activity jumps again, then volatility may become extreme and BTC may break the $30,000 resistance. In a case where the volume follows in the upward direction, Bitcoin could significantly surge above the aforementioned resistance.

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Victor Olanrewaju is a full-time journalist at AMBCrypto. Settled in Lagos, his fascination with blockchain technology and the cryptocurrency market arose out of his love of freedom and everything free. As a Nigerian, Victor understands the impact unfounded financial restrictions have on a population. He sees Bitcoin and cryptos as a way to circumvent these obstacles, as a tool for value creation despite all the setbacks. A graduate in Physics, Victor previously worked as a Senior Marketer at Melange Technologies. Before that, he dealt with crypto-marketers on a regular basis in his capacity as Copywriter at Ventrix Media. At AMBCrypto, Victor’s focus is on assessing the real effectiveness of both on-chain and off-chain developments on a project and its community sentiment.
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