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Shiba Inu risks 18% drop, but whales keep buying – What do they know?

2min Read

If bulls fail to defend the current level, SHIB could crash 18%.

Shiba Inu (SHIB) dual scenario, Potential rebound or sharp crash

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  • SHIB dropped over 7.5% in 24 hours, testing critical support near $0.00001240 with increased market volatility.
  • CoinGlass data showed $942K in short positions near $0.00001306, far outweighing long liquidations.

With huge volatility, Shiba Inu [SHIB], the popular memecoin, has been on the verge of crashing by 20%, as its price action flashes a bearish signal.

Despite this bearish outlook, whales’ participation in the memecoin skyrocketed, as revealed by the on-chain analytics tool IntoTheBlock.

Whales participation skyrockests

According to IntoTheBlock, SHIB transaction counts in the $100K–$1M range jumped 175.86% in the past 24 hours. The $10K–$100K bracket also saw a 147.79% spike.

In contrast, smaller transactions, linked to retailers, tumbled. The $10–$100 and $100–$1K bands fell 69.62% and 21.10%, respectively.

Clearly, retail is exiting, while whales are buying the dip.

SHIB Transaction Count by Size

Source: IntoTheBlock

This surge in whale transactions, alongside the significant decline in retail transactions, comes at a time when the memecoin was sinking.

It indicated that whales are taking advantage of the price dip, while retailers appear to be panic-selling.

At press time, SHIB was trading near $0.0000124 and had registered a price decline of over 7.50% in the past 24 hours.

During the same period, traders and investors found themselves fearful and avoided participation, resulting in a 10% drop in the recorded trading volume.

Shiba Inu price action and technical analysis 

AMBCrypto’s analysis suggests that if SHIB closes a daily candle below $0.00001240, it could continue to decline, potentially dropping 18% in the coming days.

Shiba Inu (SHIB) price action

Source: TradingView

On the other hand, if the SHIB memecoin sustains itself above the $0.00001240 level, a price reversal is also possible, and the asset may see a price jump of 18%, repeating its earlier pattern and history.

Amid the market uncertainty, SHIB has fallen below the 200 Exponential Moving Average (EMA) on the daily timeframe, indicating that the asset is in a downtrend.

Traders’ eyes on short positions 

Meanwhile, CoinGlass data showed traders are stacking short positions aggressively.

Around $0.00001306, cumulative short liquidations now stand at $942K, compared to just $612K in long liquidations.

SHIB Exchange Liquidation Map

Source: CoinGlass

This imbalance shows strong downside bias. If the price slips further, short pressure could cascade into more selling.

Given the current market structure and on-chain metrics, the bearish outlook seems to be on the verge of execution.

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Vivaan Acharya Journalist at AMBCrypto is a Mumbai-based crypto journalist with five years of real-world experience covering technology and finance. With a Master’s in Economics from the University of Delhi, he cut his teeth at a major financial daily where he honed his skills in data analysis and technical chart analysis while decoding market trends and corporate earnings. In 2018, Vivaan pivoted to the cryptocurrency space, authoring a thesis on "Payments and Stablecoin Integration in Banking" that set the stage for his deep dives into Bitcoin market analysis, Altcoin analysis, stable coin ecosystem development analysis, and studies of emerging crypto regulations. Known for his clear, no-nonsense approach, Vivaan blends robust research with straightforward explanations to demystify complex blockchain topics. His analytical insights empower readers to confidently navigate the fast-evolving digital finance landscape.
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