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Why Bitcoin’s sell-off will slow down once BTC hits $130K-$150K: Bitwise CEO

Peter Brandt's 75% BTC crash projection could be far-fetched as 200-weekly SMA hovered around $48K.

Bitcoin
  • Bitcoin’s massive sell-off could abate as large players opt to borrow against the asset.
  • Peter Brandt warned that BTC’s double top pattern could trigger a 75% dump to $27K. 

The ongoing profit-taking above $100K may reduce as Bitcoin [BTC] climbs higher. According to Bitwise CEO Hunter Horsley, holders will borrow against their BTC stash instead of selling when it surges above $150K. 

“I think once Bitcoin breaks through, eg, $130-150k, no one is going to sell their Bitcoin. And from there on, when people need liquidity, they are going to borrow from an ever-growing set of lenders.”

In fact, one of the largest wirehouses, JPMorgan Chase, has begun using crypto ETFs as collateral, further cementing Horsley’s claim. 

If the trend picks up, BTC could blast even higher, added Horsley. 

“All of which will further propel price. There’s simply not going to be enough Bitcoin.”

Bitcoin — What’s next in the short term

That said, Bitcoin reversed recent losses and briefly retested $110K earlier in the week. At press time, the asset exchanged hands at $109.5K. 

But Glassnode stated that selling pressure from long-term holders (LTH) spiked to $930 million per day, but was relatively modest compared to past local peaks. 

In its weekly report, the on-chain analytics firm highlighted, 

“This figure rivals the $840M/day realized during the $73K ATH, yet remains well below the $1.64B/day peak seen during the initial breakout above $100K.”

Bitcoin
Source: Glassnode

Given these modest offloading from LTH, Glassnode stated that current price levels may be far from triggering a ‘broader-scale distribution.’

On key prices to track, Glassnode marked out $115.4K and $97.6K as near-term resistance and support levels, based on the short-term holder (STH) cost basis model. 

“The $97.6k STH cost basis continues to serve as a pivotal support level necessary for maintaining local bullish momentum. On the upside, the $115.4k zone emerges as the first significant resistance should the market enter price discovery.”

Bitcoin
Source: Glassnode

For perspective, the STH realized price of $97.6K meant that most recent buyers acquired BTC around this level.

As such, a price dip below it could trigger a panic sell-off by this cohort. Such a scenario could dent the current bullish set-up. 

That said, Peter Brandt made a contrarian projection, suggesting that current price action mirrored a 2021 double top pattern that led to a 75% drop. In such a hypothetical scenario, BTC would dip from $109K to $27K. 

Bitcoin
Source: Peter Brandt/X

But such massive dump may be far-fetched, given that past bear markets BTC plunge eased around the 200-weekly moving average (currently at $48K). 

Disclaimer: AMBCrypto's content is meant to be informational in nature and should not be interpreted as investment advice. Trading, buying or selling cryptocurrencies should be considered a high-risk investment and every reader is advised to do their own research before making any decisions.

Benjamin Njiri

Journalist

Benjamin Njiri is a Crypto Analyst and Reporter at AMBCrypto, specializing in technical analysis and emerging market trends. With a background in Telecoms engineering and power systems, he applies data analysis to filter market noise and decode on-chain data. His work delivers clear, data-driven insights that help readers navigate crypto markets with confidence.

AMBCrypto was founded in 2018 with a mission to simplify and bring the latest blockchain and cryptocurrency news to our readers. We have quickly grown into the digital news source for an emerging generation of cryptocurrency enthusiasts, reaching more than a million readers on a monthly basis, across the globe.