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Analysis

Why XLM’s current accumulation phase presents a buying opportunity

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Accumulation phase for Stellar Lumens likely as XLM presents a buying opportunity
Source: Pixabay


Disclaimer: The findings of the following analysis are the sole opinions of the writer and should not be considered investment advice

Stellar Lumens formed a range after a downtrend from last November, but in recent weeks buying pressure suggested a reversal could occur. There was a range formation on the charts, which can be thought of as a rectangle bottom pattern.

XLM- 1 Day Chart

Accumulation phase for Stellar Lumens likely as XLM presents a buying opportunity

Source: XLM/USDT on TradingView

XLM formed a range between $0.24 and $0.167 since mid-January. In this same time period, Bitcoin has dropped to $35k but also appeared to have a bullish longer timeframe bias. However, XLM continued to have a bearish structure on the charts.

So what supports a rally in the weeks to come? There has been a lot of buying in recent weeks. Inside a range, when either the buying or the selling side is dominant according to volume bought/sold, it is generally indicative of the direction of the next move for the asset.

Therefore, the range lows near $0.17 can be a buying opportunity. On the other hand, if XLM is able to climb past $0.2, a retest of the same level as support could also be a buying opportunity.

Rationale

Accumulation phase for Stellar Lumens likely as XLM presents a buying opportunity

Source: XLM/USDT on TradingView

The RSI stayed below neutral 50 in the month of April to denote a bearish trend in progress. In the same time period, XLM has been unable to breach the mid-point of the range as well as the $0.2 resistance level. The Awesome Oscillator told a similar story, as it dropped beneath the zero line and showed bearish momentum held sway.

However, the A/D line has formed a series of higher lows since mid-January. This uptrend on the A/R indicator means that buying volume has outweighed selling volume in the past three months.

Conclusion

While the market structure remained bearish on longer timeframes, there was a range pattern within which Stellar Lumens was trading within. Moreover, there was some evidence to show that the coin was in a phase of accumulation. Therefore, long-term investors could look to load their bags in anticipation of a rally past the $0.24 range highs in the weeks to come.

Conversely, a daily session close below $0.163 could mean that bears have seized the initiative.

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Akashnath is a Chemical Engineering graduate deeply fascinated by Technical Analysis and the crypto markets and enjoys studying price movements and trying to find patterns.

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Disclaimer: AMBCrypto's content is meant to be informational in nature and should not be interpreted as investment advice. Trading, buying or selling cryptocurrencies should be considered a high-risk investment and every reader is advised to do their own research before making any decisions.