XRP ETF sees persistent inflows despite price weakness — Is a bullish divergence forming?

XRP has recorded yet another day of positive ETF inflows, extending a streak that began shortly after the product launched. 

New data from SoSoValue shows $10.89 million in fresh inflows today, pushing total net assets to $1.12 billion, even as XRP’s price continues to trend downward.

This divergence between ETF demand and spot market weakness raises the question: Is institutional accumulation quietly setting the stage for a reversal?

Institutional demand rises as XRP ETF AUM climbs

The SoSoValue chart shows a clear pattern:

• Consistent green inflow bars since mid-November
• A steady climb in ETF AUM, now above the $1.1 billion mark
• No major outflow days since launch

Even during broader market volatility, the XRP ETF has attracted buyers daily. This is a sign that institutional allocators may view current prices as favorable entry points.

If this trend continues, the ETF could become a stabilizing force for XRP’s market structure, similar to how Bitcoin ETFs behaved during their early launch phase.

XRP price still sliding, but momentum shows signs of exhaustion

On the price front, XRP remains under pressure. The chart from TradingView shows:

• XRP trading near $1.92, down more than 40% from its yearly peak
• A persistent downtrend stretching from early November
• Lower lows and lower highs across the daily timeframe

However, the MACD indicator suggests weakening bearish momentum.

The histogram has begun to flatten, while the MACD and signal lines are headed toward a potential bullish crossover — a pattern often associated with trend reversals.

This suggests that although sellers remain active, the intensity of the downtrend may be diminishing.

ETF inflows vs. retail selling: a familiar pattern?

Historically, strong ETF inflows during price weakness can indicate:

• Institutions accumulating on discount
• Retail-driven selloffs nearing exhaustion
• A potential bottom formation in progress

While this setup does not guarantee an immediate rebound, past market cycles show that when ETF flows and price diverge, price often catches up later.

XRP’s current structure fits that profile:

• Funds are buying the dip, not fleeing
• Retail sentiment remains weak
• Momentum indicators are stabilizing

If inflows continue at this pace, they may eventually place upward pressure on the spot market.

Key levels to watch

• Support: $1.85 — losing this level exposes $1.70
• Resistance: $2.05 — a key reclaim level for trend strength
• ETF threshold: Sustained inflows above ~$15M/day could trigger stronger directional moves

Final Thoughts

• XRP ETF inflows continue to build despite falling prices, creating a clear divergence worth monitoring.
• Momentum indicators suggest the selloff is weakening, but confirmation rests on reclaiming key price levels.