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Analysis

Analyzing if DOT bulls can clinch near-term gains before a pullback

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Source: Canva


Disclaimer: The findings of the following analysis are the sole opinions of the writer and should not be considered investment advice.

Like most coins, Polkadot [DOT] has been on a persistent decline over the last few months. During this phase, the two-month trendline resistance (yellow, dashed) has kept a check on the recent bullish revival attempts.

The current price setup took an interesting stance. A rebound from its long-term support can position the alt for near-term revival. 

While the broader market structure plays out in favor of the sellers, losing the $7-mark support can expose DOT to a further downside in the coming sessions.

At press time, DOT traded at $7.25, up by 8.59% in the last 24 hours.

DOT Daily Chart

Source: TradingView, DOT/USDT

The recent drawdowns pulled DOT toward its 17-month low on 13 June after an over 32% three-day decline (10-13 June). Post this, the buying pressure seemingly saw a spike. Thus, the alt marked a bullish hammer on the daily timeframe after a streak of red candles.  

The alt’s symmetrical triangle breakdown carved a path to test the eight-month trendline support (white, dashed). Should the current candlestick close above the hammer, it would confirm the short-term buying pressure.

Traders/investors should watch for the close beyond the $7.5-level to assess the effectiveness of the buying strength. With a confluence of the $7.03-support, trendline support, and the bullish hammer resistance (white, dashed), the alt could see short-term recovery toward the $8.6-zone. 

An inability to close beyond the $7.3-level could intensify the sluggish behavior in the coming sessions. A broader market collapse below the $7-level would expose DOT to a further 8-10% downside.

Rationale

Source: TradingView, DOT/USDT

After consistently trying to break the bonds of the 44-mark, the RSI fell back into the oversold region. Potential growth from here could aid DOT’s short-term recovery prospects.

However, the MACD lines continued to depict a strong bearish edge in the current market dynamics. Further, with the -DI line finally looking south, DOT could register near-term ease in selling pressure.  

Conclusion

Given the multiple support confluences at the $7-region alongside the bullish hammer, a potential near-term recovery could see a reversal from the $8.6-region. In this case, buyers must wait for a close above the $7.3-mark.

However, an overall market sentiment analysis becomes vital to complement the technical factors to make a profitable move. A close below the $7-support can spiral into undesired losses.

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With a background in financial analysis and reporting, Yash is a full-time journalist at AMBCrypto. He has a keen interest in blockchain technology, with a primary focus on technical analysis of cryptocurrencies.

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Disclaimer: AMBCrypto's content is meant to be informational in nature and should not be interpreted as investment advice. Trading, buying or selling cryptocurrencies should be considered a high-risk investment and every reader is advised to do their own research before making any decisions.