ApeCoin: Gauging if this reversal beholds any opportunities for APE investors

Disclaimer: The findings of the following analysis are the sole opinions of the writer and should not be considered investment advice.

• ApeCoin saw a bearish patterned break as the sellers expedited their pressure over the last few days.
• The crypto’s network growth and MVRV marked a slight improvement.

Soon after touching its ATH levels in April this year, ApeCoin’s [APE] descent snowballed. In doing so, the coin denied the buyers to propel any trend-altering rallies for over seven months.

Read ApeCoin’s Price Prediction 2023-24

The recent bearish pattern breakout inflicted a streak of red candles. The price action rested at its immediate support zone in the $2.8 region. While the price declined below the EMAs, the near-term momentum shifted in favor of sellers.

At press time, APE traded at $2.97, up by 1.94% in the last 24 hours.

Can APE buyers prevent a breakdown from its bearish pattern?

Source: TradingView, APE/USDT

After a substantial loss of over 89% from its ATH levels, APE gravitated toward the $4.2 level. Since then, the buyers strived to alter the bearish narrative but the seven-month trendline resistance (white, dashed) constricted all buying efforts.

The trendline resistance inflicted a reversal that eventually chalked out a descending triangle setup on the daily chart. In the meantime, the series of lower highs induced a patterned breakdown that pulled APE toward its all-time low on 14 November. 

With the 20 EMA (red) and the 50 EMA (cyan) looking south again, the bears would look to control the near-term trend.

A potential rebound from the $2.8 baseline can provoke an immediate comeback. In this case, the 20 EMA could restrict the bullish resurgence in the $3.9-$4.2 range. A close below the $2.8-level could expose the alt to a further downside. In this case, the altcoin could enter a price discovery.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) declined and swayed in the bearish zone near the oversold mark. Nonetheless, the Chaikin Money Flow’s (CMF) higher troughs affirmed a mild bullish divergence with the price action. 

Can the buyers bounce back?

Source: Santiment

An analysis of data from Santiment unveiled a major spike in APE’s network growth over the last few days. Empirically, the price has been sensitive to this metric. But the wider market conditions have curtailed the buying efforts. 

Also, the 30-day MVRV marked a slight growth but still remained negative at press time.

Finally, investors/traders should factor in broader market sentiment and on-chain developments to make a profitable move.