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Bitcoin [BTC] will take another 22 years to regain its all-time high, says research analyst

Akash Anand

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'Bitcoin [BTC] will take another 22 years to regain its all-time high', says research analyst
Source: Pixabay

Bitcoin [BTC]’s rise and fall has been a consistent event that has grabbed headlines in the cryptocurrency space. According to the latest financial analysis conducted by UBS research analyst Kevin Dennean, the fans of the cryptocurrency will have to wait for over 22 years to climb back to its earlier heights of $19,000- $20,000.

Dennean made these claims comparing the pattern of Bitcoin and the cryptosphere with the trends of other financial system crashes like the Dow Jones crash of 1929, the NASDAQ slide in 2000 and the Oil tumble of 2008. The UBS analyst pointed to how a lot of the cryptocurrency’s proponents stated that Bitcoin is en route to a bull surge because ‘other assets did that in the past’. He laid the foundation for the delayed rise of Bitcoin by saying:

“We’re struck by how long it took other asset bubbles to recover their peak levels (as long as 22 years for the Dow Jones Industrials) and how pedestrian the annualized returns from trough to the recovery often are.”

Dennean was also of the opinion that not every bubble that bursts recovers its old highs, taking the example of the Nikkei crash, which after 30 years of its fall, has still not managed to reach its earlier peak, currently trading at around half its all-time highs. The Japanese asset price bubble was an inflated economic bubble in the late 80s where the real estate and the stock market prices were greatly volatile. In 1992, the price bubble burst and Japan’s economic machine came to a standstill.



Another figure used by Dennean was the fact that all the asset classes, including Bitcoin, fell by 75 percent with Bitcoin breaching the 80 percent barrier. After the crash, only the Dow Jones and the NASDAQ provided a reprieve to users after rising back to its earlier highs.

At the time of writing, Bitcoin was trading for $5292 with a market cap of $93.423 million. The 24-hour trading volume was clocked at $12.985.





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Bitcoin

Huobi, Bitfinex, and other exchanges allegedly linked to laundering/mixing of Bitcoins

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Huobi, Bitfinex, and other exchanges are allegedly linked in laundering/mixing of Bitcoins
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On 19 May, 2019, @Whale_Alert tweeted a transaction of 2000 BTCs between Bitfinex and an unknown wallet, which after in-depth research by a Twitter user, confirmed that it was linked with wash-trading, mixing and laundering of funds. The funds circulated over various exchanges like Bitfinex, Binance, Huobi, Coinbase, and others, raise serious questions regarding AML laws and more.

The flagged transaction was sent from 1HL5rZWw5rGzFAB1mThEMxwazEBtWigs7B to two distinct addresses.

The Twitter user, @Proofofresearch, flagged this transaction and revealed the exchanges involved [directly or indirectly]. The user tweeted,

The user flagged a few addresses in the clusters which sent a significant amount of funds, shown in the image attached below.

Source: Twitter | CryptoMedication

The entity 145631092, as seen in the above chart, the funds sent by Huobi from this cluster ended on July 21, 2017. Another wallet “17hf5H8D6Yc4B7zHEg3orAtKn7Jhme7Adx”, linked to having transactions with Huobi has one particular transaction that stands out as it has an op_code named “People! help!”, which was transferred on March 30, 2019.

Source: Smartbit

The wallet address “19V5joogtZCCj3YWcP9pNT8eKLSZybc1Kq” has only four transactions in total. Upon checking the previous transaction for this address, the transaction with hash “bee4795db198230d6baad2e9dbba42b597c635b2471101641cce99e1ff0e91e4” stands out, since it is linked to darknet market places, the user tweeted.

Source: Twitter | CryptoMedication

Further, the address “3M1QVCjXn38AUdUxbLCH4WUZc1ai72ZKgr” that sent funds to the above-mentioned wallet, has a strong connection to darknet market places like the Hydra Market place.

Source: Twitter | Cryptomedication

The source of these funds was directly linked again with Hydra Market place, with the user tweeting,

The Twitter user further alleged that the addresses linked to these clusters were attached to fraud and some user[s] was “selling accounts at Coinbase/Huobi/Bittrex/Binance.” The Twitter user also urged the compliance team of the respective exchanges to close these flagged accounts ASAP.

The user added that all the funds linked to darknet market places were later deposited in Huobi exchange, which according to the user, gets mixed by Huobi.



Additionally, the user added,

“There are zero customers involved in any of these transactions at this point. That much is obvious. These addresses are not functioning as customer deposit addresses. That’s a guarantee. Funds go to Binance/OKex/Poloniex/BTCBox.com… By FAR, Okex is the most frequent recipient of funds from these Huobi-controlled addresses. Please keep in mind that these are not deposit addresses. These are addresses where Huobi is literally mixing the funds and sending them to other exchanges for some reason.”

One particular address connected to Bitfinex in this fiasco, “1LSgEKji3ZoGdvzBgkcJMej74iBd38fySb,” has received 1 million Bitcoins, according to the user. The user added,

“As stated before, Binance/Coinbase/Bitfinex/Huobi/Bittrex/Coinbase/”Bitbank”/Bithumb/OKex are all pals in this laundering scheme together. They mix and mash funds and operate in a symbiotic fashion – replenishing stores when necessary… In this case, Huobi’s hands are dripping if there’s such a thing as catching someone ‘red-handed’.”





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