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Can ADA register a higher low despite prevailing bearishness

2min Read
Cardano breaks out of a bullish reversal pattern but continued to toil within a bearish structure
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Disclaimer: The findings of the following analysis are the sole opinions of the writer and should not be considered investment advice

The total value locked (TVL) on the Cardano blockchain has climbed, as has the number of total wallets holding ADA. It was unclear whether this development on the chain would have a bullish impact on the price. On the longer timeframes, there was the possibility that ADA broke out of a bullish reversal pattern and could continue to post gains on the chart.

ADA- 1 Day Chart

Cardano breaks out of a bullish reversal pattern but continued to toil within a bearish structure

Source: ADA/USDT on TradingView

The falling wedge (white) pattern is a bullish reversal pattern that ADA has been trading within over the past few months and recently broke out of. In the past few weeks, the price has been unable to break the downtrend’s lower high at $1.26. This level is also high for the year 2022, marking it as a significant level for the bulls to beat.

Was the breakout from the falling wedge a failure, considering the fact that ADA was unable to break the downtrend’s recent lower high? Possibly, but it was not yet clear. It is still possible that ADA will register a higher low (a swing low above $0.781) in the next few days/weeks, and consolidate before pushing higher.

In the meantime, as things stand on the price charts, the market structure remained unbroken from its bearish bias (series of lower highs).

Rationale

Cardano breaks out of a bullish reversal pattern but continued to toil within a bearish structure

Source: ADA/USDT on TradingView

The RSI slipped back beneath the neutral 50 line in response to the rejection in the $1.2 area. Therefore, the momentum has flipped back toward a bearish leaning. Consider also that the price is beneath the psychological $1 level, and it appeared that further downside could be likely.

The DMI also showed a strong downward trend as both the ADX (yellow) and the -DI (red) was above the 20 mark.

The OBV has formed higher lows in the past month in response to ADA’s strong bounce from $0.78 support. However, the OBV has also formed a lower high, which confirms the market bias leaning bearish.

Conclusion

Despite the breakout from the wedge pattern, there weren’t strong gains registered yet as Cardano struggled to break out past $1.2. In fact, the market structure remained bearish, and the OBV backed this up by showing a lack of strong buying volume in the past month.

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Akashnath S is a Senior Journalist and Technical Analysis expert at AMBCrypto. He specializes in dissecting price action, identifying key market trends through advanced chart patterns, and forecasting both short-term and long-term asset trajectories. His distinct analytical method is grounded in his academic training as a Chemical Engineer. This background provides him with a systematic, process-oriented approach to market data, enabling him to analyze the complex dynamics of financial markets with precision and objectivity. Having actively covered the cryptocurrency space since the landmark 2017 market cycle, Akashnath possesses years of experience navigating both bull and bear markets. This seasoned perspective is critical to his insightful reporting on market volatility and evolution. As an active market participant, Akashnath enhances his analysis with crucial, hands-on experience. This practical application of his technical skills ensures his insights are not merely theoretical, but are also relevant and actionable for an audience looking to understand and navigate trading opportunities. He is dedicated to educating readers on the nuances of technical analysis, empowering them with the knowledge to make more informed financial decisions.
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