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Analysis

Tron: This is where TRX could stabilize before its next big move

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Source: Canva

It has been a while now since the crypto fear and greed index has refrained from changing its outlook from the ‘extreme fear’ zone. However, after a drop toward the $0.04-level, Tron [TRX] saw a revival while compressing between the two up-sloping converging trendlines (yellow).

A vigorous bearish endeavor to prevent a close above the $0.069 resistance can cause a short-term setback on the chart. At press time, TRX was trading at $0.0678, up by 1.94% in the last 24 hours.

TRX Daily Chart

On the daily timeframe, TRX saw improvements after dropping towards its yearly low on 15 June. The recovery from its long-term support entailed a bearish rising wedge-like setup.

With the 20 EMA (red) falling below the 50 EMA (cyan) and the 200 EMA (green), the sellers assumed a stronger control in the current market structure. But the recent growth saw a close above the 20 EMA. 

Further, the $0.069 level can undermine the immediate buying effort to test the $0.07-zone. In this case, any reversals from the current pattern would open a doorway to test the $0.057-$0.06 range.

Investors/traders must carefully assess the broader macro-economic sentiments affecting placing long bets. Any bearish invalidations could see relatively short-lived gains from the $0.071-$0.075 range.

Rationale

Source: TradingView, TRX/USDT

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) saw strong growth over the past few days from the oversold region. Any reversals from the equilibrium can aid the sellers in propelling a patterned breakdown on the chart.

Also, a reversal from the CMF’s trendline resistance would affirm the existence of a bearish divergence with the price. Also, the oscillator was below the zero-mark for over three weeks now and revealed a strong edge for the sellers.

Conclusion

Given the bearish divergence on the CMF alongside the sturdiness of the $0.069-resistance, TRX could see a setback on its charts. In this case, the take-profit levels would remain the same as above. 

However, the investors/traders should consider Bitcoin’s movement and its impact on broader market perception to make a profitable move. An analysis of this would aid the traders in anticipating the possibility of any bearish invalidations.

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With a background in financial analysis and reporting, Yash is a full-time journalist at AMBCrypto. He has a keen interest in blockchain technology, with a primary focus on technical analysis of cryptocurrencies.

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