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Can a spike in ETH price boost the state of Arbitrum, Optimism

3min Read

Should ETH’s price recover, ARB and OP might climb harder. But that may not be the case for now.

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  • ARB and OP fell by double digits in the last seven days.
  • Traction on the L2 networks has decreased despite an earlier hike a few days back.

Arbitrum [ARB] and Optimism [OP] prices have seen major declines recently. According to AMBCrypto’s assessment of the market, ARB’s value decreased by 16% in the last seven days.

OP’s price dropped by 15%, suggesting that the tokens might have hit a local top when they rallied. At press time, OP changed hands at $3.25 despite hitting $4.25 on the 12th of January.

Also, ARB’s attempt at reaching $3 has been stopped, with the price falling to $1.85 in the process.

Optimism and Arbitrum are Ethereum [ETH] scaling solutions. Furthermore, ETH was the major reason the cryptocurrencies rallied. As beta versions of the altcoin, ARB and OP have a strong correlation with ETH.

For instance, AMBCrypto observed that if ETH’s price climbs, the values of the tokens climb harder.

Also, when the price of ETH falls, the others fall much harder. This was evident in the recent nosedive as when ETH decreased by 5.34%, OP and ARB fell by double-digits.

ARB’s further fall might be unavoidable

From the technical perspective, ARB experienced a surge in trading volume when the price climbed from $1.64 to $2.40. This happened between the 10th and 12th of January.

However, the volume of the cryptocurrency has become low, indicating a lack of interest in it.

Also, the price at $1.85 seemed like a crucial zone for the token. If sellers breach the zone, ARB might fall to $1.70 which was the next support area. Indications from the Awesome Oscillator (AO) showed that this was likely.

ARB price analysis on the 4-hour timeframe

Source: TradingView

The AO, at press time, was down to -0.18, suggesting an increasing downward momentum. In addition, the price also closed below the 20 EMA (blue) and 50 EMA (yellow).

This breakdown suggests a bearish trend which could drive the ARB price further down.

OP’s money flow shrinks as L2 adoption decreases

OP’s market structure on the 4-hour chart was similar to ARB’s. A look at the EMAs confirmed the bearish bias for the cryptocurrency. The MACD had also dropped into the negative region, reinforcing the bearish dominance sentiment.

If this remains the same, OP could drop below $3.

Furthermore, the Money Flow Index (MFI) was as low as 6.79. This reading was proof of a lack of capital inflow. So, buying pressure was almost non-existent for the token.

Optimism (OP) price analysis

Source: TradingView

If the candlestick closes below $3.25, OP could head down to $2.50 which was one of its lows in December.

In terms of the Network Growth, on-chain data showed that both Optimism and Arbitrim experienced hikes during the ETF approval period.

Realistic or not, here’s ARB’s market cap in OP terms

At that time, Arbitrum’s Network Growth jumped to 8343 while Optimism increased to 19,000. The increase then, implied that new addresses flocked into the project.

But at press time, the metric was down on both ends, suggesting that traction had become low and demand was not as heightened as it was before.

Optimism and Arbitrum network growth

Source: Santiment


Victor Olanrewaju is a full-time journalist at AMBCrypto. Settled in Lagos, his fascination with blockchain technology and the cryptocurrency market arose out of his love of freedom and everything free. As a Nigerian, Victor understands the impact unfounded financial restrictions have on a population. He sees Bitcoin and cryptos as a way to circumvent these obstacles, as a tool for value creation despite all the setbacks. A graduate in Physics, Victor previously worked as a Senior Marketer at Melange Technologies. Before that, he dealt with crypto-marketers on a regular basis in his capacity as Copywriter at Ventrix Media. At AMBCrypto, Victor’s focus is on assessing the real effectiveness of both on-chain and off-chain developments on a project and its community sentiment.
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