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Ethereum: This can be a setback for ETH ahead of the Merge

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As the date of the much-awaited Ethereum Merge comes closer, the excitement in the community is skyrocketing. Ethereum, which has been in the limelight for a few months now, also showed a promising performance last week by registering nearly 8% 7-day gains.

Though the majority of crypto enthusiasts believe that as we approach the Merge date, ETH’s price will gain steady upward momentum, several believe otherwise. Well, certain datasets and metrics indicate a possible plunge in ETH’s price ahead of the Merge. 

Bears incoming

A recent analysis by Grizzly, an analyst, and author at CryptoQuant, pointed out the possibility of a price decline.

Ethereum’s exchange reserve increased over the last few days, which is a bearish sign. As past data suggests, such increases in the inflow into exchanges are generally followed by a price plunge.

Source: CryptoQuant

Similar episodes happened in May and June, which considerably declined ETH’s price. The recent development also somewhat showed a similar trend as ETH’s price moved slightly downwards.

However, a slight relief is that the last time the inflow increased, it helped ETH touch the $2,500 mark, so it gives rise to a possibility of an uptrend too ahead of the much-hyped ETH Merge. 

Nonetheless, several on-chain metrics also showed bearish readings. Ethereum’s total active addresses have increased over the last week, but the concern is- most of them were sending addresses, which is a bearish signal.

Source: Glassnode

The brighter side

Though the aforementioned analysis and data suggested a downtrend, several on-chain metrics favored Ethereum.

For instance, Ethereum’s number of active addresses with non-zero balances recently reached an all-time high, which is a clear indication of increased investors’ confidence in the coin as we approach the Merge. 

The altcoin’s king, Ethereum’s net deposits on exchanges were low compared to the 7-day average. This development suggested less selling pressure. Additionally, ETH’s MVRV ratio, at press time, stood at -5.33%. Thereby, stating that the asset was available at a discounted price in the market. 

Source: Santiment

However, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Stochastic indicated that the market was in a neutral position, which reveals the fact that things could head in any direction. 

Source: CryptoQuant


Saman Waris works as a News Editor at AMBCrypto. She has always been fascinated by how the tides of finance and technology shape communities across demographics. Cryptocurrencies are of particular interest to Saman, with much of her writing centered around understanding how ideas like Momentum and Greater Fool theories apply to altcoins, specifically, memecoins. A graduate in history, Saman worked the sports beat before diving into crypto. Prior to joining AMBCrypto 2 years ago, Saman was a News Editor at Sportskeeda. This was preceded by her stint as Editor-in-Chief at EssentiallySports.
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