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Analysis

Bitcoin Price Analysis: 06 March

Akashnath Sumukar

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Source: Pixabay

Disclaimer: The findings of the following analysis are the sole opinions of the writer and should not be taken as investment advice

In the short-term, Bitcoin flipped the $47,400-level from resistance to support. Bitcoin’s dominance has also been on a steady downtrend over the past few days, with the world’s largest cryptocurrency holding its own above the $45,000-mark, a sign that capital was flowing out of altcoins and into Bitcoin.

In fact, there were some signs that a bullish bias was back in the market as the correlation with the S&P 500 picked up too.

Bitcoin 1-hour chart

Bitcoin Price Analysis: 06 March

Source: BTC/USD on TradingView

The past two weeks have seen BTC trade within the range of $43,810 to $51,370. The mid-point of this range at $47,430 has been an important level of support and resistance over the same time period.

The descending trendline (cyan) was tested once more, and the bulls achieved a breakout as high as $49,400. However, there was some selling there that saw BTC pushed back lower to trade at $48,268, at the time of writing.

A move above $47,400 is an encouraging sign and another attempt to breach the $48,800-$49,350 area of supply is likely to be seen in the short-term.

Reasoning

On the hourly chart, the RSI was oscillating around the 50-mark, with market momentum not in favor of either side yet. The price dip from $49,350 over the past 12 hours was backed by low trading volume, indicating that it could be reversed.

The market’s bears were halted at $46,600 before a move above the trendline (cyan) was seen. Since then, the OBV has been making a series of higher lows to show that buying volume was rising. However, by and large, the OBV was pretty much in the same area it was before showing that short-term volatility notwithstanding, March has seen a deadlock between buyers and sellers.

A retest of $47,400 cannot be ruled out, but it is likely that this level will hold as support if tested. To the upside, a move beyond the aforementioned region of supply will likely see BTC test the $50,000-mark.

Conclusion

A retest of $47,400 or a hike above $49,350 can be an opportunity to enter a long position with a target of $52,000, based on the evidence at hand. Weekend volatility could also rear its head, making risk management all the more important.


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Having studied Chemical Engineering, Akashnath's focus is on the UK and Indian markets and especially crypto assets. He is devoted to technical analysis and is always on the lookout for investment opportunities.

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