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How far is a trend reversal for Bitcoin?

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Bitcoin, as a store of asset, holds a lot of value for its investors, especially those who share positive sentiments about its price movements. However, at the time of writing, the on-chain indicators were slightly sketchy for the king coin. 

A trend reversal for Bitcoin?

Although not absolutely bearish, BTC may be slowly approaching a possible trend reversal.  The downtick registered by the NVT ratio chart was pointing to this possibility. This, after the indicator touched a 9-year high mark. Such high peaks are usually succeeded by bearish trend reversals on the charts.

NVT Ratio indicating a bearish trend reversal | Source: Glassnode

The number of new addresses had already been falling since March 2021, and after the May crash, this indicator fell further. With new addresses plummeting to January 2020 levels, at a mere 324k, investors seemed to be kept at bay from investing in the asset. 

Bitcoin New Addresses at a low | Source: Glassnode

Finally, observing the difficulty ribbon compression showed that the indicator was at its May 2018 levels. Being far away from the green zone is not the best position for the king coin since this green zone represents a zone of high compression. These zones have been good buying opportunities in the past. This compression threshold was established at 0.05, whereas the indicator was at the 0.13-level, at press time. 

Difficulty Ribbon Compression far away from the buy zone | Source: Glassnode

Are miners back?

This could be the one strong strand of news that may balance the bearish momentum that has been building up. After the latest fall in hash rate, the numbers were moving up once again as the 7-day moving average registered an uptick. This could be a sign that the effects of the “great mining migration” are wearing off. 

Bitcoin mean hash rate rising up | Source: Glassnode

Bitcoin may possibly begin to push back up once again, owing to the effects of this development. 


Aaryamann is a freelance crypto journalist working with AMBCrypto. He is currently investing his time in the crypto-space. He has a keen interest in DeFi, the ever-expanding possibilities of blockchain technology, as well as the political impact they would have.
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