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Analysis

Polygon [MATIC] traders can chalk out a breakout strategy from this pattern

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Source: Canva

Disclaimer: The findings of the following analysis are the sole opinions of the writer and should not be considered investment advice.

In gearing up its recovery efforts, Polygon’s [MATIC] latest bull run propelled a bullish flip on the 4-hour EMA ribbons. However, the $0.87-$0.88 range induced a selling resurgence to cause a compression near the brink of the ribbons.

A prolonged close below the up-channel (yellow) would confirm a breakdown and hint at an increasing selling vigor. A reliable rebound from the 20 EMA must occur to prevent the near-term bearish inclinations. At press time, MATIC was trading at $0.8787.

MATIC 4-hour Chart

Source: TradingView, MATIC/USDT

After an expected breakdown from its previous bearish pennant, MATIC showed strong rebounding tendencies from the $0.76 baseline.

The recent ascending channel revival aided MATIC bulls in testing the crucial $0.88-$0.87 resistance range. Also, the press time market sentiment alongside this resistance range created a relatively conducive environment for the bears.

Furthermore, the last three candlesticks have taken a bearish stance by forming an evening star pattern. A likely streak of red candles could further reignite the selling edge.

A robust close below the $0.87-level could brace MATIC for a near-term downside. The sellers would look to test the $0.83-$0.84 range before a likely revival.

However, A sway above the 20 EMA could ensure a sluggish phase in the current resistance range. But the bulls were yet to trigger a spike in the trading volumes to sustain a close above the immediate resistance range.

Rationale

Source: TradingView, MATIC/USDT

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) dipped below the 56-level resistance to depict a decrease in buying edge. Any decline below the equilibrium would confirm the press time bearish bias.

The MACD’s bearish crossover inflicted south-looking inclinations. A continued drop would resonate with RSI’s bearish stance. 

Nevertheless, the CMF’s lower troughs had the potential to affirm a bullish divergence with the price. But for this, the bulls must uphold the -0.12-level.

Conclusion

MATIC’s decline below the ascending channel after an evening star candlestick pattern hints at a potential bearish move. The fall below $0.97 could confirm this narrative. The targets would remain the same as discussed.

Finally, investors/traders must keep a close eye on Bitcoin’s movement as MATIC shares a 75% 30-day correlation with the king coin.

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With a background in financial analysis and reporting, Yash is a full-time journalist at AMBCrypto. He has a keen interest in blockchain technology, with a primary focus on technical analysis of cryptocurrencies.

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Disclaimer: AMBCrypto's content is meant to be informational in nature and should not be interpreted as investment advice. Trading, buying or selling cryptocurrencies should be considered a high-risk investment and every reader is advised to do their own research before making any decisions.